Novelda CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
CFC
2 - 0
NOV
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 0
ELD
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
BEN
0 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
TOM
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
AGU
1 - 0
NOV
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
RJA
3 - 1
GAN
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
CDB
0 - 0
RJA
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
RJA
4 - 1
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
ALB
1 - 0
RJA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 0
IMP
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |