Novelda CF vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 3
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAI
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALZ
0 - 0
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 0
OLI
34%
28%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 1
NUC
30%
27%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 1
RAY
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RAY
0 - 0
SIL
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ELD
1 - 2
RAY
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
17%
25%
58%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |