Novelda CF vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 1
SEG
71%
17%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
RAY
71%
20%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 0
ORI
31%
27%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALM
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |