Novelda CF vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
UTI
1 - 4
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 1
NOV
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
NOV
4 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
UTI
2 - 2
NOV
40%
29%
31%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
NOV
4 - 1
PUÇ
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PEG
0 - 6
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PEG
0 - 3
NUC
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -3 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 0
PEG
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PEG
3 - 1
CRE
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |