Novelda CF vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CRE
0 - 0
NOV
17%
27%
56%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 1
HOR
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 1
NOV
26%
29%
45%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
ALZ
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 4
NOV
31%
29%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PEG
0 - 2
DEN
18%
26%
56%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
OND
2 - 0
PEG
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALC
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SDS
0 - 1
PEG
65%
22%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PEG
1 - 2
JOV
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |