Novelda CF vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ELD
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 2
ONT
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
GAN
0 - 2
NOV
22%
30%
49%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 2
UDP
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
PEG
3 - 1
BUR
52%
25%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 0
PEG
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
PEG
0 - 0
DOL
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 1
PEG
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PEG
2 - 2
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |