Novelda CF vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 3
NOV
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
NOV
3 - 1
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
ELD
2 - 0
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
NOV
3 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
BUR
1 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
PEG
0 - 0
ELC
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
GIM
0 - 1
PEG
47%
28%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
PEG
2 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
BUR
1 - 0
PEG
54%
26%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
PEG
0 - 0
ALZ
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |