Novelda CF vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
ELD
5 - 3
NOV
32%
30%
38%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIN
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 2
BUR
75%
18%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
ALM
0 - 1
NOV
24%
30%
46%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
PEG
2 - 0
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
SAN
3 - 0
PEG
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
JOV
2 - 0
PEG
72%
19%
10%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
PEG
1 - 1
ALC
17%
28%
55%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEG
43%
27%
29%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |