Novelda CF vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
NOV
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
LLO
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALM
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 2
JOV
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 2
ORI
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ORI
3 - 1
UTI
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 1
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 0
NUC
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |