Novelda CF vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 3
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
BEN
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
JOV
1 - 2
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
NUC
0 - 1
JOV
55%
25%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NUC
3 - 1
PAT
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
NUC
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NUC
0 - 1
CUL
33%
26%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REQ
2 - 1
NUC
34%
28%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |