Novelda CF vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 0
NOV
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
4 - 0
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TLL
1 - 1
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
MIS
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
NUC
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NUC
1 - 3
LEV
75%
18%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
NUC
25%
28%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NUC
0 - 2
TLL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
NUC
4 - 2
BOR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |