Novelda CF vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 2
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 2
PEG
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
29%
29%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 1
OND
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
THA
0 - 0
NUC
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NUC
0 - 3
VAL
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ELD
1 - 1
NUC
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
NUC
2 - 1
JOV
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NUC
2 - 1
CRE
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |