Novelda CF vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
NOV
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALZ
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 0
NOV
41%
28%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
BOR
49%
25%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ONT
40%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 0
MUR
39%
27%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIL
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALZ
1 - 0
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAG
33%
26%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
BOR
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |