Novelda CF vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LLO
0 - 2
NOV
20%
25%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SAG
2 - 1
NOV
22%
27%
51%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 2
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
JOV
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 1
MUR
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
UTI
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
MUR
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 0
NUC
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |