Novelda CF vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 3
NOV
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
LLO
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 3
NOV
21%
23%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 2
ACE
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 1
NOV
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALZ
47%
26%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
YEC
3 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 4
YEC
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
PBO
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PBO
1 - 1
MUR
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |