Novelda CF vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JOV
2 - 3
NOV
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
LEV
51%
25%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 1
NUC
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
NOV
13%
21%
65%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
ALI
67%
21%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUC
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 3
MUR
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ELD
2 - 3
MUR
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
LLO
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |