Novelda CF vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ALB
2 - 1
NOV
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
IMP
0 - 1
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
NOV
3 - 1
ILI
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
PAI
1 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
37%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 1
RJA
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
3 - 2
GAN
41%
26%
34%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 2
CDB
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CAL
4 - 3
MAN
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
ALB
3 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 1
IMP
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |