Novelda CF vs Madrigueras UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LOR
8 - 0
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 5
ELD
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
CAL
1 - 3
NOV
36%
23%
40%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ALB
6 - 1
NOV
90%
7%
3%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALI
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Madrigueras UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
MAD
1 - 1
IND
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
AGU
4 - 0
MAD
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAD
2 - 0
MON
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MAD
1 - 0
CFC
29%
23%
47%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
IMP
4 - 1
MAD
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |