Novelda CF vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 1
NOV
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRA
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SAB
1 - 1
NOV
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
LLE
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
VIJ
0 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
YEC
2 - 1
LOR
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
GIM
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CEM
1 - 4
LOR
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |