Novelda CF vs FC Jove Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
UTI
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
13%
22%
65%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JOV
1 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
JOV
0 - 0
PAT
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UTI
2 - 0
JOV
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JOV
0 - 1
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUC
4 - 1
JOV
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |