Novelda CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
OSA
0 - 0
NOV
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 3
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LEV
0 - 0
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 0
PEÑ
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
FIG
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
FIG
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SAB
0 - 1
HER
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
AZK
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 1
HER
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
VIJ
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |