Novelda CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
NOV
1 - 3
HOS
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SAB
2 - 0
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NOV
0 - 0
LLE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
HOS
0 - 1
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LLE
2 - 2
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |