Novelda CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CEP
0 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NOV
4 - 1
ONT
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRA
32%
30%
39%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
FCB
2 - 0
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
HOS
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
GIM
1 - 2
HER
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
HER
1 - 0
FIG
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SAB
0 - 0
HER
30%
28%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |