Novelda CF vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
YEC
1 - 2
NOV
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
RCD
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 2
GIM
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
GIR
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
YEC
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
GIM
6 - 0
GIR
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
CEM
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
RCD
0 - 0
GIR
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |