Novelda CF vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 0
NOV
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
NUC
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
NOV
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
ELD
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 0
NOV
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 1
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 1
ELC
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 0
BUR
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 1
ELC
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ELC
3 - 0
LLO
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |