Novelda CF vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NUC
3 - 0
NOV
60%
25%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 4
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 7
CRE
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 2
ELC
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 2
OLI
21%
24%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALZ
3 - 1
ELC
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 2
BUR
22%
26%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |