Novelda CF vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 1
NOV
30%
30%
40%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 0
NOV
28%
31%
41%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
THA
0 - 2
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 1
VAL
35%
28%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ELD
0 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
THA
2 - 2
ELC
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ELC
0 - 3
VAL
20%
26%
54%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ELD
2 - 2
ELC
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ELC
1 - 1
JOV
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
NUC
2 - 0
ELC
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |