Novelda CF vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
NOV
18%
25%
58%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
OND
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPO
64%
23%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 2
NOV
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ELC
0 - 0
BUR
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 0
ELC
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ELC
2 - 0
DOL
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
ELC
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ELC
1 - 2
TOR
71%
19%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |