Novelda CF vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOV
1 - 2
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 3
NOV
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
LLO
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
2 - 0
CRE
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 0
DEN
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 0
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
DEN
21%
28%
51%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 2
BAD
33%
30%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |