Novelda CF vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
RAY
5 - 1
NOV
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAL
63%
19%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
AGU
4 - 2
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
NOV
3 - 0
AGU
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ALM
0 - 2
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
CIE
5 - 2
CRE
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
ELD
2 - 0
CIE
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CIE
3 - 0
IND
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
CIE
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CIE
3 - 1
RAY
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |