Novelda CF vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
THD
6 - 1
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPO
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ELD
6 - 0
NOV
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 3
BEN
26%
27%
48%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
RAY
4 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
9%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAL
55%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 3
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
THD
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |