Novelda CF vs CF Benidorm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
THD
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
9%
16%
76%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 2
RED
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CF Benidorm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
THD
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
ELD
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |