Novelda CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
0 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
NOV
3 - 1
VEC
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 0
NOV
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ATB
4 - 0
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CDT
1 - 1
BEN
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDT
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CDT
1 - 0
GET
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |