Novelda CF vs CD Lorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CFC
7 - 1
NOV
89%
7%
4%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIJ
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
IMP
2 - 0
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALB
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CIE
1 - 0
NOV
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
HER
5 - 0
LOR
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
LOR
0 - 1
RAY
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
ELD
2 - 1
LOR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CFC
4 - 1
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |