Novelda CF vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 3
REQ
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
6 - 0
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRE
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
NOV
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
NUC
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 3
CAS
12%
23%
65%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALI
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ELD
0 - 1
CAS
13%
24%
63%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 3
LLO
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |