Novelda CF vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
FIG
2 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ALC
2 - 2
NOV
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
NOV
2 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
NOV
1 - 0
UDL
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
GET
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
2 - 0
BEN
49%
27%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 0
PPJ
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CAS
3 - 2
HER
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
GET
3 - 2
CAS
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |