Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOV
46%
28%
27%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALZ
32%
34%
35%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ALI
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAT
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
VAL
3 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
ASP
2 - 0
VIJ
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
UDC
1 - 0
ASP
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ASP
2 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
13%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
BUR
3 - 0
ASP
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ASP
2 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |