Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
ALG
0 - 2
NOV
42%
28%
30%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
NOV
3 - 0
UDP
65%
23%
13%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
BUR
3 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
NOV
1 - 1
DEN
63%
23%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
NOV
1 - 1
ONT
45%
28%
28%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
ASP
3 - 1
ONT
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
VIL
0 - 0
ASP
54%
25%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
ASP
3 - 2
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASP
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
ASP
2 - 0
GAN
49%
28%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |