Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
UDQ
2 - 3
NOV
44%
28%
29%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NOV
2 - 0
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
14%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAT
50%
26%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ALG
2 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 0
UDP
62%
23%
16%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
JOV
4 - 2
ASP
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 0
ALZ
60%
23%
18%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ALI
1 - 0
ASP
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ASP
2 - 0
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |