Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ALM
2 - 1
NOV
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 2
LOR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ALM
5 - 1
NOV
73%
15%
13%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAL
53%
20%
27%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
MIN
1 - 1
NOV
76%
13%
10%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ASP
4 - 1
CIE
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
THA
2 - 1
ASP
78%
12%
9%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ASP
4 - 2
HEL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
AGU
8 - 1
ASP
81%
12%
8%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ASP
0 - 3
ORI
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |