Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
11.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
CFC
5 - 1
NOV
82%
11%
8%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
HEL
8 - 0
NOV
87%
8%
5%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
NOV
10 - 0
ORI
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +4 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
IMP
5 - 2
NOV
89%
7%
4%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ELC
4 - 0
NOV
91%
6%
3%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
ASP
0 - 1
ELC
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
ASP
4 - 3
YEC
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASP
80%
11%
8%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ASP
1 - 5
ELD
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ASP
5 - 2
IMP
34%
22%
43%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +4 |