Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
ELD
6 - 1
NOV
80%
12%
9%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
NOV
0 - 5
ELC
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ALI
8 - 0
NOV
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 6
LOR
65%
18%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
SOR
3 - 1
NOV
75%
14%
12%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
ASP
1 - 2
GAN
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VIL
3 - 0
ASP
80%
11%
9%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ASP
0 - 2
ORI
48%
22%
31%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
YEC
4 - 1
ASP
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ASP
2 - 1
ALB
58%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |