Novelda CF vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
GIR
32%
29%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
YEC
2 - 0
CAR
36%
29%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
GIM
25%
29%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CEM
4 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
RCD
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |