Novelda CF vs Buñol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
ONT
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SEG
0 - 1
NOV
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
VIL
8%
20%
72%
|
40 | 87 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Buñol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 1
BUÑ
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BUÑ
0 - 2
OLI
13%
25%
62%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BUÑ
1 - 0
BEN
31%
26%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
BUÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BUÑ
0 - 2
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |