Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 0
NOV
27%
26%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
IZA
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
IZA
3 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 3
NOV
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
JOV
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SAG
2 - 0
MUR
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
CUL
2 - 2
SAG
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAG
3 - 1
REQ
65%
23%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ACE
1 - 1
SAG
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 1
CAS
29%
29%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |