Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALZ
2 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
NUC
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 3
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
BEN
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
JOV
1 - 2
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAG
3 - 0
JOV
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 2
SAG
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 0
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 1
CUL
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
REQ
2 - 2
SAG
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |