Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
ELD
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JOV
0 - 2
NOV
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAT
64%
21%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 1
JOV
42%
28%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
SAG
27%
26%
48%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 1
UTI
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
SAG
30%
27%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 0
NUC
31%
27%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |