Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOV
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
JOV
51%
25%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 3
NOV
31%
26%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 1
CRE
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 1
SAG
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
BUR
36%
26%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ZAR
3 - 1
SAG
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 0
SAG
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |