Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
NOV
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOR
33%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
REQ
1 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 1
NUC
24%
26%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 2
SAG
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 0
ALI
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ELD
3 - 1
SAG
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
LLO
48%
26%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |