Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
NUC
2 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
NOV
4 - 1
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
TLL
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOR
3 - 0
NOV
31%
27%
41%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SAG
1 - 2
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
NUC
2 - 1
SAG
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SAG
1 - 3
PUÇ
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LEV
1 - 0
SAG
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SAG
0 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |